It's not every day you hear a major financial institution hint at the possibility of the entire economic system collapsing.
并不是每天你都能听到一家大型金融机构暗示整个经济体系有崩溃的可能。
The reason major financial institutions(and the mainstream financial media)shy away from a negative outlook on the economy is out of fear of triggering a kind of"self-fulfilling prophecy."People stampeding to sell stocks and pull money out of banks could cause a vicious cycle of declines and losses.
主要金融机构(以及主流金融媒体)之所以回避对经济前景的负面展望，是因为担心引发某种"自我应验预言"人们蜂拥而至抛售股票，从银行取出资金，可能会导致股价下跌和亏损的恶性循环。
And so these institutions tend to be positive,no matter what is really happening.But if a hungry bear is standing behind you in the woods,do you want to be"optimistic"and hope it isn't there?
所以这些机构往往是积极的，不管真正发生了什么。但是，如果一只饥饿的熊站在你身后的树林里，你是否希望"乐观"，并希望它不在那里？
Maybe reality has finally started to sink in.Zero Hedge captured the stark state of the"system"by quoting an article from the Dutch Central Bank:
也许现实终于开始深入人心。Zero Hedge 引用了荷兰央行(Dutch Central Bank)的一篇文章，抓住了"体系"的严峻状态:
An article published by the De Nederlandsche Bank(DNB),or Dutch Central Bank,has shocked many with its claim that"if the system collapses,the gold stock can serve as a basis to build it up again.Gold bolsters confidence in the stability of the central bank's balance sheet and creates a sense of security."
荷兰荷兰中央银行银行发表的一篇文章震惊了许多人，因为它声称:"如果金融体系崩溃，黄金储备可以作为基础重新建立起来。黄金增强了人们对央行资产负债表稳定性的信心，并创造了一种安全感。"
After a part of the international banking system states the words"if the system collapses",the obvious question to ask is:
在国际银行体系的一部分声明"如果体系崩溃"之后，一个显而易见的问题是:
Do they think the system will actually collapse?
他们认为金融体系真的会崩溃吗？
Of course,it's hard to tell exactly what will happen,and when.
当然，很难确切地说会发生什么，以及什么时候会发生。
That said,the DNB is moving about 31%of their gold to a military facility.They stated,"The Dutch central bank is moving part of the national gold reserves to a temporary home in Haarlem ahead of a permanent move to the new DNB Cash Centre at military premises in Zeist."
也就是说，DNB 正在把他们31%的黄金转移到一个军事设施。他们表示，"荷兰央行正将国家黄金储备的一部分转移到哈勒姆的一个临时住所，随后将永久迁往位于 Zeist 军事基地的新 DNB 现金中心。"
That would be a good move in advance of a major financial crisis,if one did happen.And they aren't the only central banking institution to move their gold in such an alarming fashion.
如果真的发生了重大金融危机，这将是一个很好的预防措施。而且，他们并不是唯一一家以这种令人担忧的方式转移黄金的央行机构。
In 2017,Germany completed the process of repatriating its gold reserves from New York and Paris well ahead of schedule.But an article from The Street raises a red flag of concern for motive(emphasis ours):
2017年，德国提前完成了从纽约和巴黎遣返其黄金储备的进程。但《华尔街》(The Street)的一篇文章提出了一个担忧动机的危险信号(强调我们的动机):
After the financial crisis,you started seeing many European countries wanting their gold back.This whole thing started because they were more concerned about control over ownership.
金融危机之后，你开始看到许多欧洲国家想要回他们的黄金。整个事情的开始是因为他们更关心对所有权的控制。
Germany's move only left 36.6%of their reserves in New York.
德国此举只将其外汇储备的36.6%留在了纽约。
Inside the U.S.,legislation passed in 2015 allowed Texas to repatriate its gold and create a bank in efforts to use gold and silver as legal tender.
在美国国内，2015年通过的立法允许德克萨斯州遣返其黄金，并建立一家银行，努力使用黄金和白银作为法定货币。
The New American reported,"The law creating the first state-level gold-backed bank in the nation,House Bill 483,will involve repatriating about$1 billion of Texas gold from New York."
《新美国人》报道说，"这项法律创建了美国第一个州级黄金支持银行，众议院第483号法案，将涉及从纽约遣返约10亿美元的德克萨斯黄金。"
This particular move by Texas lawmakers lays part of the groundwork necessary in case the"monetary reset"the Dutch Bank hinted at were to actually happen.
德克萨斯州立法者的这一特别举措奠定了部分必要的基础，以防荷兰银行暗示的"货币重置"真的发生。
And with all of this gold flying around,and new kinds of banks being created,it begs one final and important question…
随着所有这些黄金飞来飞去，新的银行被创造出来，这就引出了最后一个也是最重要的问题..。
Will we get advance warning from the Federal Reserve?
我们会得到美联储的预先警告吗？
If the system is heading for collapse(which the DNB is preparing for)or a monetary reset was going to be necessary,it would be nice to know in advance so you could prepare.
如果系统正走向崩溃(DNB 正在为此做准备)或者货币重置将是必要的，那么提前知道这一点将是很好的，这样你就可以做好准备。
But that's unlikely to be the case.Zero Hedge sarcastically observes,"We are confident that the trust-keepers of the current establishment–such as other central banks and the IMF–will be kind enough to provide ample advance notice to the citizens of the'developed'world to exchange their fiat into hard assets.Or,then again,perhaps not."
但情况不太可能是这样。Zero Hedge 讽刺地指出:"我们相信，当前机构的信托管理者——比如其它央行和 IMF——将足够仁慈，提前充分通知'发达'世界的公民，让他们将法定货币兑换成硬资产。或者，话又说回来，也许不是。"
Without any notice,all you can do is stay informed and get prepared while you still have time.
在没有任何通知的情况下，你所能做的就是保持消息灵通，在你还有时间的时候做好准备。
One hint of things to come is buried in a 23-page speech from Mark Carney,which speaks of creating a"Synthetic Hegemonic Currency"(SHC)in efforts to end the U.S.dollar's"destabilizing effects"as reserve currency.In that speech he said:
马克•卡尼(Mark Carney)在一篇长达23页的演讲中暗示了未来的趋势。他在演讲中提到，要创建"合成霸权货币"(Synthetic Hegemonic Currency)，以结束美元作为储备货币的"不稳定影响"。在那次演讲中，他说:
Widespread use of the SHC in international trade and finance would imply that the currencies that compose its basket could gradually be seen as reliable reserve assets,encouraging EMEs to diversify their holdings of safe assets away from the dollar.
在国际贸易和金融中广泛使用特别提款权将意味着，构成特别提款权篮子的货币可逐渐被视为可靠的储备资产，从而鼓励新兴市场国家将其持有的安全资产多样化，减少对美元的依赖。
So if this SHC gets widespread use,the already-weakening U.S.dollar may lose its seat on top of the reserve currency"food chain."
因此，如果这种特殊货币得到广泛使用，已经疲软的美元可能会失去其在储备货币"食物链"顶端的位置
Banks may return to a gold-backed monetary system in response.
作为回应，银行可能会回到黄金支持的货币体系。
来源：
