英国脱欧协议，欧盟和北美贸易..

Trying to find the details within the U.K-EU Brexit deal is more difficult than finding evidence of a Yeti.The negotiating team secrecy is inherent to the way the elites within the European systems work.Essentially the"betters"rule the proles by hiding the details and relying upon the electorate to"trust"the outlined framework of their elected superiors.

试图在 U.K-EU Brexit 协议中找到细节，比找到雪人的证据更加困难。谈判团队的保密是欧洲体系内精英们运作的固有方式。从本质上说，"上等人"通过隐藏细节和依靠选民"信任"他们选出的上级的大致框架来统治无产者。

Hiding details is a feature within the European system and the way the government looks at their role.

隐瞒细节是欧洲体系的一个特征，也是政府看待他们角色的方式。

That said,tomorrow British members of parliament will begin debating the deal for the UK to exit the EU.The deal was modified by Boris Johnson.A backgrounder:

也就是说，明天英国国会议员将开始讨论英国退出欧盟的协议。鲍里斯•约翰逊(Boris Johnson)对这笔交易进行了修改。背景介绍:

视频：https://youtu.be/TCA0EQJhuxY

Farage is concerned,rightly,about how the framework of the EU customs union is constructed to influence the UK after Brexit.From what can be determined there's a triggering mechanism where the UK and EU begin a lengthy process to construct a UK trade agreement with the EU after Brexit takes place.

法拉奇对英国脱欧后如何构建欧盟关税同盟框架以影响英国感到担忧，这是理所当然的。英国脱欧之后，英国和欧盟将开始一个漫长的过程，与欧盟建立一个贸易协定。

Within that post-Brexit automatic trade-framework is where the European Union is seeking to retain their influence over the United Kingdom.However,it is not accurate to overlay EU influence too heavily,and here's why….

在英国退欧后的自动贸易框架内，欧盟正在寻求保持其对英国的影响力。然而，它是不准确的覆盖欧盟的影响过于严重，以下是为什么..。

Within the current framework there's a customs union design similar to a Venn diagram,that consists of Northern Ireland remaining attached to EU tariff rules,and yet the UK is not subject to the same parameters.So there's three different sets of trade rules in place.

在目前的框架内，有一个类似于维恩图的关税同盟设计，其中包括北爱尔兰仍然附属于欧盟关税规则，但英国不受相同参数的约束。所以现在有三套不同的贸易规则。

One set between the EU and Northern Ireland;one set between Northern Ireland and the UK;and one set between the EU and the UK.All of this is designed to stop the UK from having independent trade wealth that is beyond the reach of the EU to control.

一组在欧盟和北爱尔兰之间，一组在北爱尔兰和英国之间，一组在欧盟和英国之间。所有这一切都是为了阻止英国拥有欧盟无法控制的独立贸易财富。

It's complicated.

这很复杂。

However,here's the aspect you won't find discussed.

然而，这里有一个方面你不会发现讨论。

Within the agreement as it appears the EU can,likely would,punish the UK for having more favorable trade agreements with other nations.Meaning if the UK gives better deals to others than it does the EU,the EU will increase tariffs against the UK intended to punish the UK by restricting access to the EU market for UK products.But that's the limit of what the EU will be able to do….

在协议中，欧盟可以(很可能)惩罚英国与其他国家签订更优惠的贸易协议。这意味着，如果英国与其他国家达成的协议比欧盟更好，欧盟将提高针对英国的关税，以限制英国产品进入欧盟市场，从而惩罚英国。但这是欧盟能够做到的极限.....。

Meaning,the EU cannot stop the UK from entering a trade deal with North America(think USMCA).And there's every visible likelihood President Trump is constructing a U.S.-U.K trade agreement with that in mind….Meaning the U.K.will have preferential access to North America,and the USMCA countries(Mexico,U.S.and Canada)will in turn have preferential treatment in trade with the U.K.

这意味着，欧盟不能阻止英国与北美签订贸易协定(想想美国海关总署)。而且很有可能特朗普总统正在构建一个 U.S.-U.K 贸易协定时就考虑到了这一点.....。这意味着英国将优先进入北美，而美国马来西亚国家(墨西哥、美国和加拿大)将在与英国的贸易中获得优惠待遇。

This is important.The EU will not be able to influence the U.S-U.K.trade agreement beyond imposing tariffs on Britain as punishment.This is where the importance of Donald Trump comes in….Trump can,I would say:likely will,give preferential treatment to exports from the U.K.,so long as PM Boris Johnson is reciprocal toward the U.S.

这很重要。除了对英国征收关税作为惩罚之外，欧盟无法对 U.S-U.K.贸易协定施加影响。这就是唐纳德·特朗普的重要性所在.....。我会说，特朗普可以，可能会给予英国的出口优惠待遇，只要鲍里斯·约翰逊总理对美国是互惠的。

Simultaneously,President Trump can hit the EU much harder than the EU can hit Great Britain.If,say,the EU hits the UK with a 25%tariff as punishment for a better trade deal with the U.S.on any individual segment,Trump can hit the EU with a 25%tariff back on the EU.

与此同时，特朗普总统对欧盟的打击比欧盟对英国的打击要大得多。比如说，如果欧盟对英国征收25%的关税，作为对与美国在任何一个部门达成更好的贸易协议的惩罚，特朗普可以对欧盟征收25%的关税。

The EU needs access to the$20 Trillion U.S.market much more than the EU needs access to the newly freed U.K.market.Brexiteers should remember this.President Trump and PM Johnson can work together to leverage this trade situation to both of their benefits.The EU will want to keep selling their stuff into the U.K.(less important);but the EU*has to*keep selling their stuff into the U.S.(very important)in order to survive.

欧盟需要进入20万亿美元的美国市场，远远超过欧盟需要进入新近解放的英国市场。英国退欧者应该记住这一点。特朗普总统和约翰逊总理可以共同努力，利用这种贸易形势来实现双方的利益。欧盟将继续向英国出售他们的产品(不那么重要)，但欧盟必须继续向美国出售他们的产品(非常重要)，以求生存。

Trump and Johnson can work on a U.S-U.K.trade superhighway.Our research already sees this construct in the discussions.Simultaneously,Trump can pummel the EU with tariffs.[Keep in mind the U.S.just won a WTO ruling for$7.5 billion a year in countervailing duties the EU cannot legally try and counteract.]

特朗普和约翰逊可以在美英贸易高速公路上合作。我们的研究已经在讨论中看到了这个结构。与此同时，特朗普可以用关税打击欧盟。[请记住，美国刚刚赢得了世贸组织每年75亿美元的裁决，而欧盟不能在法律上试图抵消这一反贴补税。]

Combine the$7.5 billion WTO ruling with the potential for President Trump to hammer additional duties against the EU for adverse trade action within the Brexit customs authority,and what you see is an EU that can threaten action,but has limited recourse(just like China).

加上75亿美元的世贸组织裁决，再加上特朗普总统有可能因为英国脱欧海关当局的不利贸易行动而对欧盟征收额外关税，你看到的是一个可以威胁采取行动，但追索权有限(就像中国一样)的欧盟。

President Trump is itching to trigger more tariffs against the EU and looking for any economic excuse to do so.Brexit provides just that excuse.

特朗普总统渴望对欧盟征收更多关税，并寻找任何经济上的借口。英国脱欧正好提供了这个借口。

This is why,despite the flaws inherent within the UK-EU Brexit agreement,it would be in the best interests of the U.K.to vote in support of the current deal and get out.

这就是为什么，尽管英国和欧盟的脱欧协议存在固有的缺陷，但投票支持当前的协议并退出将符合英国的最大利益。

Once out,President Trump can then provide trade incentives for EU products that come from the U.K.that do not come from the EU itself.No U.S.tariffs on Great Britain,while Trump puts heavy U.S.tariffs on the EU.

一旦出台，特朗普总统就可以为来自英国但不是来自欧盟本身的欧盟产品提供贸易激励。美国对英国不征收关税，而特朗普则对欧盟征收高额关税。

The result of this process would push EU manufacturers and suppliers into the U.K.as a trade hub for access to North America,specifically the United States.Simultaneously,EU companies wanting to avoid the U.S.tariffs against the EU could distribute their products through operations within the U.K.

这一过程的结果将推动欧盟制造商和供应商进入英国，成为进入北美，特别是美国的贸易枢纽。与此同时，希望避开美国对欧盟关税的欧盟公司可以通过在英国境内的业务来分销他们的产品。

As described this trade network provides PM Boris Johnson with the ability to pick and choose the EU entities that he would permit to operate in the U.K.In essence,this provides Prime Minister Boris Johnson with leverage against the EU for"other issues"of importance.

正如所描述的，这个贸易网络为首相鲍里斯·约翰逊提供了挑选欧盟实体的能力，他将允许这些实体在英国运营。从本质上讲，这为英国首相鲍里斯•约翰逊(Boris Johnson)提供了针对欧盟的"其它重要问题"的杠杆。

It's all about the economics.

这完全是关于经济学的。

Without money to finance their ideology,everything stops.

没有钱资助他们的意识形态，一切都停止了。

All of the above stated,this is another reason why Nancy Pelosi and the ideological leftists are trying to stall the USMCA.The North American Trade agreement is the trade fulcrum for a massive global economic reset.

综上所述，这也是南希·佩洛西和意识形态上的左派分子试图阻止 USMCA 的另一个原因。北美贸易协定是大规模全球经济调整的贸易支点。

The corporate multinational profit schemes to use China/Asia,and the political ideology behind the socialists/leftists that align with the EU(ie."share the wealth"),are both weakened by a North American trade alliance,USMCA,that relocates the best return on international investment.

企业利用中国/亚洲的跨国盈利计划，以及与欧盟结盟的社会主义者/左翼分子背后的政治意识形态。"分享财富")，这两个国家都被北美贸易联盟——USMCA——削弱了实力，因为这个联盟转移了国际投资的最佳回报。

At the center of this realignment is"America First".

这次重组的核心是"美国优先"。

来源：https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2019/10/18/the-brexit-deal-the-eu-and-the-north-american-trade-aspect/