April 5, 2022: New sunspot counts from NOAA confirm that Solar Cycle 25 is racing ahead of the official forecast–and the gap is growing:
2022年4月5日: 美国国家海洋和大气管理局新的太阳黑子数据证实，第25个太阳活动周期比官方预测的要快——而且差距还在扩大:
Sunspot counts have now exceeded predictions for 18 straight months. The monthly value at the end of March was more than twice the forecast, and the highest in nearly 7 years.
太阳黑子数量已经连续18个月超过预测。3月底的月度数据是预测值的两倍多，是近7年来的最高值。
The “official forecast” comes from the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel, a group of scientists representing NOAA, NASA and International Space Environmental Services (ISES). The Panel predicted that Solar Cycle 25 would peak in July 2025 as a relatively weak cycle, similar in magnitude to its predecessor Solar Cycle 24. Instead, Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be stronger.
“官方预测”来自太阳周期预测小组，该小组由代表 NOAA、 NASA 和国际空间环境服务(ISES)的科学家组成。太阳能电池板预测，第25个太阳活动周期将在2025年7月达到峰值，这是一个相对较弱的周期，其幅度与其前一个太阳活动周期第24周相似。相反，第25太阳活动周期正在变得更强。
In March 2022, the sun produced 146 solar flares, including one X-flare and 13 M-flares. Auroras were sighted as far south as Colorado (+38N) and Nebraska (+42N). Multiple shortwave radio blackouts disrupted communications on ships at sea and airplanes flying over the poles. If current trends continue, April will be even busier. Stay tuned. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text
2022年3月，太阳产生了146个太阳耀斑，包括一个 x 耀斑和13个 m 耀斑。南至科罗拉多州(+ 38 n)和内布拉斯加州(+ 42 n)都能看到极光。多次短波无线电停电中断了海上船只和飞越两极的飞机的通讯。如果目前的趋势继续下去，四月份会更加频繁。请继续关注。太阳耀斑警报: 短信
来源：https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2022/04/06/solar-cycle-update-the-gap-is-growing/
