英国首席医生再次证实Covid-19对绝大多数人无害

2020年5月19日10:32:02英国首席医生再次证实Covid-19对绝大多数人无害已关闭评论 1.1K4564字阅读15分12秒
摘要

正如奥威尔在《1984》中所描述的那样,这场危机的主要目的似乎是让人们同时相信两者。(害怕和没有什么好害怕的)

From the beginning of this crisis we have been pointing out that there are two mutually contradictory messages at the heart of the covid19 rollout,and,just as Orwell describes in 1984,a major point of the exercise seems to be to get people to believe both at the same time.

正如奥威尔在《1984》中所描述的那样,这场危机的主要目的似乎是让人们同时相信两者。

1.'Be Afraid…'

1.害怕

The first message is that covid19 is terrifying,unique,an existential threat to the human race.

第一个信息是 covid19是可怕的,独特的,对人类存在的威胁。

This message is never sourced to much fact,because the facts about the virus don't really support it.

这个信息从来没有根据事实,因为关于病毒的事实并不能真正支持它。

英国首席医生再次证实Covid-19对绝大多数人无害

If it cites anything solid it's the appallingly sloppy and discredited Imperial computer model,or some generic research into the pathology of severe infections or rare viral syndromes,which it tries to spin as being unique to covid19,even though it is not.

如果它引用了什么可靠的东西,那就是令人毛骨悚然、名誉扫地的帝国计算机模型,或者是一些关于严重感染或罕见病毒综合症病理学的通用研究,它试图把这些东西说成是 covid19所独有的,尽管它并不是。

But mostly it doesn't cite anything at all.Or really claim anything at all.

但大多数情况下,它根本不引用任何东西,或者真的声称任何东西。

It just tells people to be afraid.Very afraid.Of death,of uncertainty,of the'virus',of other people,of'fake news'.

它只是告诉人们要害怕。非常害怕。关于死亡,关于不确定性,关于病毒,关于他人,关于假新闻。

The fear being encouraged is not rooted in facts,and is therefore impervious to them.

这种被鼓励的恐惧并非根植于事实,因此并不受事实的影响。

2.'There is nothing to be afraid of…'

2.没什么好害怕的.....

The second message is that covid19 is actually pretty harmless and no big deal.

第二个信息是 covid19实际上是无害的,没什么大不了的。

This message is rooted in a great deal of fact,because,as we have been pointing out since day one,pretty much all the data coming out about this virus supports exactly this conclusion.

这个信息植根于大量的事实,因为,正如我们从第一天开始就指出的那样,几乎所有关于这种病毒的数据都支持这个结论。

No official body has ever denied this,and most of them readily admit it.Regularly and unambiguously.Here and here and here and here.

没有一个官方机构否认这一点,他们中的大多数人欣然承认这一点。有规律的,明确的。这里,这里,这里,还有这里。

Chris Whitty above is only one of many and this is not even his first go(see here)at explaining clearly that covid19 is only dangerous to a very very small minority of people,and that most who get it will be just fine.

上面的 Chris Whitty 只是其中之一,这甚至不是他第一次解释清楚,covid19只对极少数人有危险,而且大多数得到它的人都会很好。

Here's a slide from his talk on April 30th:

以下是他430日演讲的幻灯片:

英国首席医生再次证实Covid-19对绝大多数人无害

图片译文:

在个人层面上,死于冠状病毒的几率很低。

·在整个疫情中,即使没有疫苗,也有很大比例的人得不到疫苗。

·在这些人中,有很大一部分(确切数字尚不清楚)没有症状。

·在有症状的病例中,绝大多数(约80%)为轻度-温和的疾病。

·少数人需要去医院,大多数人只需要吸氧。其中绝大多数存活了下来。

·少数人需要通风。

·每个年龄段都有一小部分人在接受当前治疗后不幸死亡,但即使是最老的年龄段,大多数人也不会死亡。

Now,let's look at what he is saying in the above video,on May 11th[our emphasis]:

现在,让我们来看看他在511(我们的重点)上面的视频中说了些什么:

[T]he great majority of people will not die from this and I'll just repeat something I said right at the beginning because I think it's worth reinforcing:

绝大多数人不会死于这种疾病,我只是重复一下我刚开始说的话,因为我认为它值得强调:

Most people,a significant proportion of people,will not get this virus at all,at any point of the epidemic which is going to go on for a long period of time.

大多数人,很大一部分人,根本不会感染这种病毒,在这种流行病的任何时候,它都会持续很长一段时间。

Of those who do,some of them will get the virus without even knowing it,they will have the virus with no symptoms at all,asymptomatic carriage,and we know that happens.

他们中的一些人会在不知情的情况下感染这种病毒,他们会毫无症状地感染这种病毒,而且我们知道这种情况会发生。

Of those who get symptoms,the great majority,probably 80%,will have a mild or moderate disease.

在那些出现症状的人中,绝大多数----大概80%----将患有轻度或中度疾病。

Might be bad enough for them to have to go to bed for a few days,not bad enough for them to have to go to the doctor.

对他们来说,可能要卧床休息几天已经够糟糕的了,但还不至于让他们不得不去看医生。

An unfortunate minority will have to go as far as hospital,but the majority of those will just need oxygen and will then leave hospital.

不幸的少数人将不得不去医院,但大多数人只需要氧气,然后就会离开医院。

And then a minority of those will end up having to go to severe end critical care and some of those sadly will die.

然后这些人中的一小部分最终将不得不进入严重的临终关怀,其中一些人将悲伤地死去。

But that's a minority,it's 1%or possibly even less than 1%overall.

但这只是少数----只有1%,甚至可能不到1%

And even in the highest risk group this is significantly less than 20%,ie.the great majority of people,even the very highest groups,if they catch this virus,will not die.

即使在高危人群中,这个比例也明显低于20%。绝大多数人,即使是最高级别的群体,如果他们感染了这种病毒,也不会死。

And I really wanted to make that point really clearly…

我真的很想把这一点说清楚..

It seems all the officials want'to make that point really clearly',even while they behave as if it was not true.

似乎所有的官员都想把这一点说得非常清楚,尽管他们表现得好像这不是真的。

Why?

为什么?

There's plenty of room for speculation there,and we leave it to readers to get into that BTL.

这里有足够的空间进行推测,我们把它留给读者去进入 BTL

The motives,though,are less important than the basic and undeniable fact–the fear currently gripping the public mind is being simultaneously encouraged and acknowledged as unnecessary by the bodies overseeing the'response'.

然而,动机没有基本的、不可否认的事实重要——目前笼罩在公众头脑中的恐惧正在被监督"反应"的机构鼓励和承认为没有必要。

And if enough people would wake up to the pea-and-thimble trick being pulled on them,then the most dangerous and far-reaching coup against human liberty we have ever seen would essentially be stopped in its tracks.

如果有足够多的人醒悟过来,意识到他们被耍了一个"豌豆和顶针"的把戏,那么我们所见过的最危险、影响最深远的反对人类自由的政变,将基本上停在它的轨道上。

»Source

转自:

https://eraoflight.com/2020/05/18/uk-chief-medic-confirms-again-covid19-harmless-to-vast-majority/

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  • 本文由 发表于 2020年5月19日10:32:02
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