For years,it has been a sort of family joke that I view the world around me and see the cycles in everything.I had walked into a casino and noticed there were cycles to the numbers coming out on a roulette wheel,but more fascinating was that the cycles were unique to each dealer.This is why casinos rotate the dealers from table to table.
多年来，我看待周围的世界，看待一切事物的周期，这已经成为一种家庭笑话。我走进一家赌场，注意到轮盘上出来的数字有周期，但更吸引人的是，每个庄家的周期都是独一无二的。这就是为什么赌场要让庄家轮换赌桌的原因。
I noticed this particular dealer was very cyclical one night so when the casino moved him,I closed and followed him to the next table.This was back around 1971,and I was winning a lot so people began watching me.Some very big player from Texas came and sat beside me and whatever I played he did too.We made so much money they closed the casino.Whenever I would walk into a casino and start to play roulette,within 30 minutes they came to me and asked my name and they would always say we"recognize"you as a player.
一天晚上，我注意到这个特殊的商人很有周期性，所以当赌场转移他时，我关了门，跟着他走到下一张桌子前。那是在1971年左右，我赢了很多，所以人们开始关注我。一些来自得克萨斯州的大玩家过来坐在我旁边，不管我玩什么，他也这么做。我们赚了很多钱，他们关闭了赌场。每当我走进赌场开始玩轮盘赌时，不到30分钟，他们就来问我的名字，他们总是说我们"认识"你一个球员。
I would cash out and just leave.
我会兑现现金，然后离开。
There was a family gathering and my daughter was always fond of horses.The talk was all about the Triple Crown.They said no one had won since 1978.I did the wave math in my head and replied that this year the horse will win.I do not even follow horses.They just looked at me and asked,"You can forecast that too?"I simply looked at the stats and saw the cycles.I said this is the year the horse will win–and American Pharaoh won.What did I see in the stats?The major turning point from 1978 should be 37.33(8.6*4.3)bringing it to 2015.The horse won.I didn't bet on the race.Like the scene in the movie the Matrix,I just see the cycles to everything around me.
有一次家庭聚会，我女儿很喜欢马。谈话内容都是关于纯种赛马三冠王(美国)的。他们说自1978年以来没有人赢过。我在脑子里做了个波浪运算，回答说今年马会赢。我甚至不追随马。他们只是看着我问，"你也能预测到吗?"我只是看看统计数据，看看周期。我说今年是马赢的一年，美国法老赢了。我在统计数据中看到了什么？从1978年到2015年的主要转折点应该是37.33(8.6*4.3)。马赢了。我没有在比赛中下注。就像电影《黑客帝国》中的场景一样，我只是看到我周围所有事物的循环。
Now there is Jason Padgett,who is 41,and he sees complex mathematical formulas everywhere he looks.He sees the geometry in everything.He said,"I see bits and pieces of the Pythagorean theorem everywhere."He continued,"Every single little curve,every single spiral,every tree is part of that equation."He hand draws what he sees and he is a college drop out but understands and sees the fractal nature of everything.As I have tried to explain,everything is connected and there is absolutely nothing void of a cycle.Even when something dies,there is a cycle to the decay as everything turns back to dust as they say.
现在是41岁的杰森·帕吉特，他看到复杂的数学公式无处不在。他看到了一切事物的几何学。他说:"我看到到处都是勾股定理的碎片。"他继续说，"每一条小曲线，每一条螺旋线，每一棵树都是这个方程的一部分。"他手绘他看到的东西，他是一个大学辍学生，但理解和看到一切的不规则形态。正如我试图解释的那样，一切都是相互联系的，循环绝对没有任何空白。即使有些东西死了，也会有一个衰变的循环，就像他们说的那样，所有东西都会变回尘埃。
Padgett can draw a visual representation of the formula pi,which is really an infinite number that begins with 3.14.He explains,"A fractal is a shape that when you take the shape a part into pieces,the pieces are the same or similar to the whole.So say I had 1,000 pictures of you,that were little and I put all those little pictures of you in the right spot to make the exact same picture of you,but bigger."
帕吉特可以直观地表示公式 pi，它实际上是一个以3.14开始的无限数字。他解释说:"分形是一种形状，当你把一个部分分成几个部分时，这些部分与整体是相同或相似的。比如说，我有1000张你的照片，都很小，我把你的照片放在正确的位置，让你的照片和我的一模一样，但是要大一些。"
While Benoit Mandelbrot is credited with discovering Fractal Geometry,he was not someone who could see it in the real world all around him.He was a mathematician and his attempt to apply it to things was not very helpful.
虽然人们认为是本华·曼德博发现了分形几何，但他并不是一个能在现实世界中看到它的人。他是一位数学家，他试图将其应用于事物的尝试并没有多大帮助。
I have tried to explain why cycles exist.Any time I have been wrong,it has simply been my interpretation of the cycle,not that there is no cycle.The reason you can find a cycle that works for a bit and then it suddenly vanishes has been because of the interconnections–not the fact that cycles do not work.For you see,the interconnections are what produce the major overwhelming events,which is why economists are always wrong and have been unable to forecast the future.The Great Depression of the 1930s was a conjunction of many cycles such as technology where the invention of the combustion engine reduced the need for workers in agriculture.Like the internet is replacing local book and camera stores,tractors reduced the agricultural workforce from 40%to 3%causing unemployment to rise.Add to that the Dust Bowl,the Sovereign Debt Crisis in 1931,and the excess capital inflows fleeing Europe,what you ended up with was a bubble economy like Japan into 1989,and then the dramatic decline.Such events and NEVER simply one cause.Nevertheless,every investigation into such events always attempts to reduce it to a single cause and effect which is impossible.
我试图解释为什么周期存在。任何时候我都是错的，它只是我对循环的解释，并不是说没有循环。你可以找到一个循环工作了一段时间，然后它突然消失的原因是因为相互连接，而不是循环不工作的事实。正如你所看到的，这些相互联系产生了主要的压倒性事件，这就是为什么经济学家总是错误的，无法预测未来。20世纪30年代的大萧条是许多循环的结合，例如技术的发明减少了对农业工人的需求。就像互联网正在取代当地的书店和照相机商店一样，拖拉机将农业劳动力从40%减少到3%，导致失业率上升。再加上沙尘暴，1931年的主权债务危机，以及逃离欧洲的过剩资本流入，你最终得到的是一个像日本一样的泡沫经济，进入1989年，然后是戏剧性的衰退。这样的事件从来不会只有一个简单的原因。然而，每一次对这类事件的调查总是试图把它归结为单一的因果关系，这是不可能的。
What is most fascinating about Padgett is that this remarkable gift appeared only after he was attacked and suffered some brain damage.Berit Brogaard,who was a neuroscientist at the Center for Neurodynamics at the University of Missouri-St.Louis flew Padgett to Finland to run a series of tests as to why he could suddenly see the fractal world around him.The results revealed that his brain showed the damage from the attack he suffered,but the brain rewired itself and was using particular areas that most people don't have access to.Padgett had become an acquired savant,which means he was brilliant but in a specific area.His story is quite fascinating.He has acquired talent to see the fractal interconnections and suddenly was able to draw what he sees.Remarkable!
帕吉特最吸引人的地方在于，这个非凡的天赋是在他遭到攻击并遭受一些脑损伤之后才出现的。他是密苏里大学神经动力学中心的神经科学家。路易斯派帕吉特飞到芬兰进行一系列测试，想知道为什么他会突然看到他周围的分形世界。结果显示，他的大脑显示了他遭受的攻击所造成的损伤，但是大脑自我重组，使用了大多数人无法进入的特定区域。帕吉特已经成为后天获得的学者，这意味着他很聪明，但在一个特定的领域。他的故事很吸引人。他已经具备了观察分形相互联系的天赋，并且突然能够画出他所看到的东西。不可思议！
来源：https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/understanding-cycles/seeing-the-cycles-around-us-which-are-everywhere/
